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2020年12月04日   星期五欢迎来到中国核能行业协会官网
中国核能可持续发展论坛
全球应对气候变化下的能源转型与核能发展
时间: 2018年09月29日 来源:bb滚球王-官网APP下载 作者: 何建坤 点击量: 4556 分享:

quanqiuyingduiqihoubianhuaxiadenengyuanzhuanxingyuhenengfazhan


zhongsuozhouzhi,dangqianquanqiuqihoubianhuayijingshishijiekechixufazhanmianlindezuidaweixie。jinbainianyilai,youyurenweihuodongdewenshiqitipaifangyinqidiqiuqihoubiannuan,fumianyingxiangriyixianzhu,jiduanqihoushijianfashengdepinlvzengduo,qiangduzengda。qihoubianhuayuelaiyuechengweiyingxiangdiqiushengtaianquanherenleishengcunyufazhande“huixiniu”。

 

yi、quanqiuyingduiqihoubianhuayunengyuanzhuanxingdexingshiyujinzhan

bb滚球王quanqiuyikaizhanleyingduiqihoubianhuadehezuojincheng。1992nianshijiehuanjingyufazhandahuitongguole《lianheguoqihoubianhuakuangjiagongyue》。2015niandiyoutongguole《balixieding》,jiu2020nianhouquanqiuyingduiqihoubianhuajinxinglexindezhiduxinganpai。yingduiqihoubianhuadehexinshijianshaowenshiqitipaifang,tebieshiyaojianshaonengyuanxiaofeideeryanghuatandepaifang。suoyi,zaiyingduiqihoubianhuadebeijingxia,quanqiufanweineikaishilenengyuantixidegemingxingbiangehejingjifazhanfangshixiangditanzhuanxing。

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bb滚球王zhongguojijituidongnengyuanshengchanhexiaofeigeming,jieyuenengyuanhecujinnengyuanjiegoudeditanhua。zheibujinshiguanchejieyueziyuan、baohuhuanjingdejibenguoce,shiguoneikechixufazhandeneizaixuyao,tongshiyeshijianpaiwenshiqiti,weiquanqiuyingduiqihoubianhuatixiandaguozerendandangdezhanlvexuanze。“shiyiwu”yilai,meigewunianguihuadouzhidingjiangdigdpnengyuanqiangduheeryanghuatanqiangdudeyueshuxingzhibiao。dao2017niandi,zhongguodanweigdperyanghuatanpaifangyibi2005nianxiajiang45%。xiangbibbgunqiuwangguo2009nianzaigebenhagenqihoudahuishangtichudedao2020nianbi2005nianxiajiang40%~45%deguojichengnuo,zhongguoyijingtiqiansannianshixianlezheigemubiao。

dangqian,zhongguoshuidian、fengdian、taiyangnengfadianguimoyijushijiediyi。baokuohenengzainei,meinianxinzengderongliang、zaijiandeguimohexinzengtouzidouzaishijieshangchuyulingxiandiwei,bingqiezaiyinlingquanqiunengyuanbiangedejincheng。zhongguozai《balixieding》zhiqianjiutichuleguojiazizhudejianpaichengnuo,tichudao2030niandanweigdperyanghuatanqiangdubi2005nianxiajiang60~65%、feihuashinengyuanbizhongtishengdao20%zuoyoudemubiao,gengzhongyaodeshitichueryanghuatandepaifangdao2030nianzuoyouyaodadaofengzhibingzhengquzaoridafeng。bbgunqiuwangguoyoulidudezizhugongxianmubiaoyecujinle《balixieding》dedachengheshishi,jinyibuyinlingleshijieyingduiqihoubianhuadejincheng。dangqianquanqiuyingduiqihoubianhuadeguojihezuosuiranyijingzuochulehendanuli,danshijulishixianrenleiyingduiqihoubianhuademubiaorengranmianlinyanjuntiaozhan。

bb滚球王《balixieding》tichuyaokongzhiquanqiuwenshengbuchaoguo2℃,bingqiezhengqukongzhizai1.5℃zhinei。ruguoshixianzheigemubiao,daobenshijixiabanye,quanqiuyaoshixianwenshiqitijinglingpaifang。ercongdangqiangeguozizhuchengnuolaikan,julishixian2℃demubiaohaiyouhendachaju。dao2030nian,shixian2℃mubiao,eryanghuatandepaifangyaobidangqianjianshao20%。dananmuqiandequshihegeguodechengnuo,haiyaozengjia10%。suoyi,geguodoubixujiadagezidejianpailidu。anxianzaidequshi,daobenshijimowenshengyoukenengchaoguo3~4℃。zheijiuyoujidiqiushengtaidailaibukenizhuandezainanxingsunhaidefengxian。suoyi,xianzaigeguodoubixuyaotansuoshixianjingjizengzhang、shehuijinbuheeryanghuatanjianpaishuangyingdefazhanlujing。

 

bb滚球王er、zhongguodejianpaichengnuoyuxingdong

bb滚球王dangdeshijiudashangbaqihoubianhuazuoweiquanqiuzhongyaodefeichuantonganquanweixieherenleimianlindegongtongtiaozhan,tichuzhongguo“yindaoqihoubianhuaguojihezuo,chengweiquanqiushengtaiwenmingbbgunqiuwangdecanyuzhe、gongxianzheheyinlingzhe”,yaoweibaohudiqiushengtaianquanzuochuzhongguodegongxian,tigongzhongguodezhihui。

bb滚球王dangqian,bbgunqiuwangguoyaoyixinshidaizhongguoteseshehuizhuyixiandaihuabbgunqiuwangdemubiaohejibenfanglveweizhidao,yaojinyibujiaqiangnengyuangemingheditanfazhandezhanlvebushuhewushixingdong。2020niandao2035nian,shixinshidaishehuizhuyixiandaihuabbgunqiuwangdiyijieduan。dao2035nianyaojibenshixianxiandaihua,yaoshixianshengtaihuanjinggenbenhaozhuan,meilizhongguobbgunqiuwangmubiaojibenshixian。yaoshixianzheiyangdeguoneihuanjingbaohumubiao,jinjinyikaojiaqianghuashinengyuanliyongdangzhongdemoduanzhilicuoshishiyuanyuanbugoude,tongshihaibixuyaokongzhihejianshaohuashinengyuandexiaofeizongliang,congyuantoushangjianshaowuranwudepaifang。jianshaohuashinengyuanxiaofeiyejiuyouzhuyujianshaoeryanghuatan,shixianzhongguoduiwaichengnuodezizhujianpaimubiao。conglingwaiyigefangmianlaijiang,zhongguoqianghuayingduiquanqiuqihoubianhuaxiajianpaieryanghuatandechengnuohexingdong,yeyouliyucujinbbgunqiuwangguodao2035nianshixianshengtaihuanjingdegenbenhaozhuanhemeilizhongguomubiaodejibenshixian,yaobaliangzhetongchoubushu,fahuixietongxiaoying,qudeguoneihuanjingzhilianggaishanhequanqiueryanghuatanjianpaideshuangzhongxiaoyi。

bb滚球王zhongguozhidingle《nengyuanshengchanhexiaofeigemingzhanlve(2016-2030nian)》。yifangmiantichulejieyuenengyuandemubiao,kongzhinengyuanxiaofeizongliang,dao2020niankongzhizai50yidunbiaomeiyixia,2030niankongzhizai60yidunbiaomeizhinei。lingyifangmian,tichulefeihuashinengyuankuayuefazhanxingdongjihua,baokuoshuidian、fengdian、taiyangnengfadiandengkezaishengnengyuan,yebaokuoheneng、qingnengdengxindenengyuanxingshi。gaizhanlvetichuleliangge50%demubiao: yishidao2030nianfeihuashinengyuandianliyaozhandaozongfadianliangde50%;ershidao2050nianfeihuashinengyuandexiaofeiliangyaozhanzongyicinengyuandexiaofeiliangde50%yishang。shixianzheiliangge50%demubiaojiuyiweizhezhongguohaijiangjixujiadanengyuangemingdebufa。zaizengjiafeihuashinengyuangongyingdetongshi,feihuashinengyuandedianlizaizhongduanxiaofeilingyubuduanqudaimeitanshiyoudenghuashinengyuan,shiyicinengyuanxiaofeizhongyongyufadiandebizhongbuduantisheng。dangqianyicinengyuanxiaofeizhongyongyufadiandebilidagaishi42%,dao2030nianhuitishengdao50%。50%deyicinengyuanyongyufadian,fadianliangdangzhong50%laizifeihuashinengyuan,yinci,dao2030nianfeihuashinengyuanzaiyicinengyuanzhongdebizhongjiujiangdadaoyue25%,jiangchaoguoduiwaichengnuodeda20%zuoyoudezizhugongxianmubiao。

zhongguojiadanengyuanditanhuazhuanxingdelidu,dao2030nianfeihuashinengyuanbizhongbiduiwaichengnuodemubiaozaitisheng5gebaifendian,zengjiadegongyingliangshihendade。bbgunqiuwangguoshuidiankaifa2030nianjibenkaifawanbi,zhuangjibaokuochoushuixunengzaineidejiangchaoguo5yiqianwa。zengdafeihuashinengyuanbizhong,zhuyaozaizengjiafengdian、taiyangnengfadianhehediangongying,qizhong,fengdianhetaiyangnengfadianyaobiyuanxianguihuagezizengjiayue2yiqianwa,hedianyaozengjia2~3qianwanqianwa。yincidao2030nian,shuidian、fengdian、taiyangnengfadianyunxingdezhuangjirongliangjunyaodadao5yiqianwazuoyou,hedianyaodadao1.5yiqianwazuoyou。hedianzhuangjisuirandiyutaiyangnenghefengneng,danyouyuyunxingxiaoshishugao,shifengdianhetaiyangnengfadiandejibei,suotigongdedianliangyinggaihefengdianbuxiangshangxia,yaochaoguotaiyangnengdefadianliang。

weilaizainengyuanzongxuqiuzengsufanghuandeqingkuangxia,feihuashinengyuanzengzhangrengranyaobaochidangqiannianjun8%~10%desudu,cainenggouyoujiaodadetidailidu。dangqianjiakuaifazhanxinnengyuanhekezaishengnengyuanfazhan,nulishiqixinzenggongyingliangnenggoumanzunengyuanzongxuqiudezengliang,shidehuashinengyuanxiaofeiliangbuzaizengjia,congerzaijingjizengzhang、nengyuanzongxuqiuzengzhangdeqingkuangxia,shieryanghuatandepaifangdadaofengzhi,buzaizengzhang,bingzhujianchengxiajiangqushi。

bb滚球王dangqianjingjixinchangtaixianengyuanhejingjideditanzhuanxingjiasu,nengyuanxiaofeiheeryanghuatanpaifangzengzhanghuanman。anmuqianqushi,bbgunqiuwangguoeryanghuatanpaifangyoukenengzhengquzai2030nianqiantiqiandafeng,fengzhipaifangliangkekongzhizai100yidunzhinei。danshieryanghuatanpaifangdafengzhihou,nengyuanxuqiuhaihuichixuyousuozengzhang,zaiyongxinnengyuanhekezaishengnengyuandezengzhangmanzuxinzengzongnengyuanxuqiudetongshi,haiyaojinyibuqudaimeitanxiaofeidecunliang,cainengshieryanghuatanpaifangchixuxiajiang。yinci,yizhidao2050nian,xinnengyuanhekezaishengnengyuanbixuweichikuaisufazhandetaishi。

bb滚球王dao2035nianhou,bbgunqiuwangjinrushehuizhuyixiandaihuabbgunqiuwangdedierjieduan,bbgunqiuwangyaojianchengshehuizhuyixiandaihuaqiangguo,zongheguoliheguojijingzhenglishijielingxian,tongshiyexuyaochengdanyuxiandaihuaqiangguoxiangchengdeguojizeren。yaoshixianquanqiukongzhiwensheng2℃yixiademubiao,dao2050nianquanqiurenjuneryanghuatanpaifangjiangdiyu2dun,bbgunqiuwangguoyexuxiangyingzhidingzhangqiditanpaifangzhanlve,weibaohudiqiushengtaianquanzuochuzhongguodegongxian。zhongguozai2035nianzhihou,eryanghuatandepaifangliangbixubaochikuaisuxiajiangdequshi。zheiduiyuxinnengyuanhekezaishengnengyuan,baokuohenengdefazhan,huiyoujudadexuqiu,zheiyeshizhongguoxinnengyuanchanyezhanjuguojijishujingzhengzhigaodian,zaishijiefanweineifahuiyinlingzuoyongdezhongyaojiyu。

dangqianzhongguozhengzaijueshengquanmianjianchengxiaokangshehui,renwuzhiyishiyaodahaowuranfangzhigongjianzhan。wuranfangzhideyixiangzhongyaocuoshijiushizaizhongduannengyuanxiaofeilingyuyongdianlaiqudaimeitan,zheiyeshidangqiannengyuanbiangehejianshaotanpaifanghenzhongyaodeyigehuanjie。zuoweituijinnengyuanhejingjiditanzhuanxingdeyixiangzhongyaozhidubbgunqiuwang,bbgunqiuwangguoyijingqidongquanguotongyidetanpaifangjiaoyishichang,congmeidianxingyeqibu。weilaidetanjiaruguodadaoguojishehuiyuqide20~40meiyuan/dundehua,meidiandefadianchengbenjiuhuimeidudianzengjia1~2jiao,zheijiuhuijiaodayingxiangmeidiandejingjijingzhengli。dangran,duiyuhenenghekezaishengnengyuanfadianlaijiangshilihaodexiaoxi。suoyi,zaidangqianquanqiunengyuanbiangedejinpoxingshixia,weihenengdekechixufazhantigongleyigexindejiyu。

 

bb滚球王san、henengfazhanmianlindejiyuhetiaozhan

dangqian,fazhanxinnengyuanhekezaishengnengyuandemubiaozhuyaoshijinkuaimanzunengyuanzongxuqiudezengliang。muqiannengyuanzongxuqiuzengzhangsuiranquhuan,danshizaizhongduanxiaofeilingyuyaoyongdianlitidaimeitan,suoyi,dianlifazhansudurengranxiangdanggao。“shisanwu”zongnengyuanxuqiunianjunzengsujiangxiajiangdao2%zuoyou,dandianlizengsukenengrengranhuidadao4%~5%zuoyou。suoyijihenengdefazhantigongleyigezengzhangdekongjian。lingwai,youyunengyuanzhuanxingdexingshibijiaojinpo,suirankezaishengnengyuanfadianchengbendafujiangdi,danshizaidabilikezaishengnengyuanshangwangdeqingkuangxia,jianxiexingdekezaishengnengyuandeshangwang、xiaona、shupei、chuneng、liyongdouyouhenduodejishupingjingmeiyoujiejue,kuaisudaguimofazhanshoudaozhiyue。erhenengjishuchengshu,yunxingwending,fuheyinzigao,keyichengzaijichufuhe,duidianwangdeanquanwendingyunxingjiangfahuizhongyaozuoyong。yinci,zaidabilikezaishengnengyuanfazhandequshixia,henengyoutadutedeyoushihezuoyong。tebieshiguangdadefazhanzhongguojia,ziyuanhejishutiaojiangebuyiyang,erqiejishunengliyebijiaodi,duihenengdexuqiurengranshibijiaoqiangjing。baokuoxiangshatealabozheizhongshiyoushuchuguoyezaikaolvfazhanheneng,tuidongnengyuanzhuanxing,jianshaoeryanghuatanpaifang。

dangqianhenengfazhanyemianlinyixiexindetiaozhan,mianlinqitaxinnengyuanjishuchuangxinhekuaisuchanyehuafazhandejingzheng。guoquhedianzhanzhuyaoshiyumeidianjingzheng,weilaiyaoqudaimeitanxiaofeidecunliang,jianshaomeidiandebizhong,henengrengshiyizhongzhongyaodexuanxiang。danqitadexinnengyuanhekezaishengnengyuanjishuyezaijiasuchuangxinhekuaisufazhan,xianzaifenbushikezaishengxinnengyuanwangluojishu、zhinengdianwangjishu、chunengjishuyijiquanqiunengyuanhulianwangjishudefazhan,keyizaihendachengdushanghuanjiedabilikezaishengnengyuanshangwangdeyali。xianzaiqingnengheranliaodianchijishufazhanhenkuai,qingnengyeshiyizhongyouzhideercinengyuan,tongshitakeyiliyongbunengshangwangfeiqidefengdianhetaiyangnengfadianlaizhiqing,bingzuoweixindechunengdeshouduan,pinghengdabilikezaishengnengyuanshangwangyujiudiliyong。weilaikezaishengnengyuanjishuchuangxinhexindechanyehuamoshiyejiangduihenengfazhanxingchengxindejingzhengtaishi,qijishujingjixingnengdebuduantishenghekuaisufazhandexingshiyejiangyasuoweilaihenengfazhandekongjian。

bb滚球王dangqianbbgunqiuwangguomeitanxiaofeiliangsuiranbuduanjianshao,danshimeitanxingyebenshenyezaichuangxin,yezaixunzhaochulu。duiyuchangguiwuranwudepaifang,xianzaiyouchaodiwuranpaifangjishu。duiyukongzhieryanghuatandepaifang,xianzaiyezaifazhaneryanghuatandebujihemaicun(ccs)jishu。baranmeifadianguochengzhongchanshengdeeryanghuatanshoujiqilai,maizaidixia,yudaqigejue,jiubuhuichanshengwenshixiaoying。danshixianzaizheizhongjishuchengbenhengao,meiyiduneryanghuatanbujimaicundechengbenyao40meiyuanzuoyou,shenzhigenggao,xiangdangyumeidudianzengjia2jiaoqiandechengben,xianzaihaimeiyouchanyehuayingyongdejiazhi。guojishangjigedaguodoujiangqizuoweiweilaiqianzaideditanjingzhengjishu,jiaqiangyanfaheshifan,litujiangdichengben,tigaoxiaolv,zaiweilaitanjiajiaogaodeqingkuangxia,rengkezaikechixudenengyuantixidangzhongzhanjuyixidiwei。

quanqiuyingduiqihoubianhuadejinchengjinpo,daobenshijizhongyeyaojibenxingchengyixinnengyuanhekezaishengnengyuanweizhutidejinlingpaifangdexinxingnengyuantixi,jiujingweilaixuanzeshenmeyangdejishuluxian,henengzhanbiduoshao,fengdian、shuidian、taiyangnengfadiangezhanbiduoshao,meidian+ccsjishuzhanbiduoshao,yejiangqujueyuweilaigezidejishuchuangxinyutupo,qujueyuqijishujingjidejingzhengxing,yequjueyuzhenggedianlixitongchuneng、diaojieyijizhinenghuadefazhanhejishuluxiandexuanze。

zaiquanqiunengyuanzhuanxingjinpoxingshixia,geguobixujinkuaixuanzebingquedingqinengyuanzhuanxingdejishuluxianhefangxiang,ernengyuanchanyetixidefazhanhejichusheshibbgunqiuwangjuyou“suoding”xiaoying,zhuanbianjishuluxianhetidaijichusheshijiangdailaijudadechenmeichengben。yinci,weilaihenengdejiaokuaifazhandagaizhiyouer、sanshinianzuoyoujiyuqiheshijianchuangkouqi,zaiweilailingtannengyuantixizhongfahuiduodazuoyongrengcunzaibuquedingxing,jiqujueyuqitaxinnengyuanjishuchuangxinhefazhandejingzhengxingshi,yequjueyugeguodezhanlvequxiang。bbgunqiuwangguoyaozaizheier、sanshinianshijianzouchuzhongguotesedehenengfazhandaolu,zaiweilaigezhongditanjishujingzhengzhongduoquyoushi,yingxiangguojiaweilainengyuanditanzhuanxingdejishuluxianxuanze,shihenengzaizhongguoweilaikechixunengyuantixidangzhongzhanjuzhongyaodediwei。bingyinlingquanqiunengyuanbiangedefangxiang,zaishijiefanweineidazaoxianjinhenengjishudehexinjingzhengli。

henengshishijieshaoshudaguozhanlvebizhengdegaokejichanye,daibiaoguojiahexinjishujingzhengliheyingxiangli。meiguo、eluosidengguojinguanguoneinengyuanbingbuduanque,danrengjianchifazhanheneng,bingzaishijiefanweineikuozhanshichang。zhongguonengyuanzongxuliangda,gediqubupingheng,nengyuanzhuanxingdejishuxuanzeyindieryi,duoyuanhubu,henengyingshizhongyaojishuxuanxiang。zhongguohenengjishushuipingxianjin,hegongyetixiwanshan,jishujingjixingnengjubeijingzhengli,anquanyoubaozhang,yaojiandingbuyishishihenengfazhanzhanlve,baochihefazhanhenengzaiguoneiwaidejingzhengyoushi。

在全球能源低碳转型大背景下,bb滚球王国要加强核能技术创新,包括小型堆、供热堆这种先进技术的发展和应用,在世界范围内占据竞争优势,并影响bb滚球王国和世界未来能源转型路径和技术的选择,引领全球能源变革的方向和进程,为保护地球生态安全和人类的生存发展做出中国的贡献。  .


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